Short-term meteorological forecasts position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's August 22 high, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating a peak near 34–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity and light northerly flow. These align with August climatology, where average highs range 31–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C amid typical summer heat and occasional stagnation. Recent model updates have reinforced this range without signals of stronger ridging that could push toward 37°C or higher, while the market's heavy weighting on 35°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in daily maxima measured at official stations. Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution around the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 20%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
20%
35°C
39%
36°C
27%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 20%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$331 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$988 Vol.
1%
33°C
$439 Vol.
7%
34°C
$1,383 Vol.
20%
35°C
$728 Vol.
39%
36°C
$600 Vol.
27%
37°C
$416 Vol.
5%
38°C
$262 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$293 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's August 22 high, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating a peak near 34–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity and light northerly flow. These align with August climatology, where average highs range 31–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C amid typical summer heat and occasional stagnation. Recent model updates have reinforced this range without signals of stronger ridging that could push toward 37°C or higher, while the market's heavy weighting on 35°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in daily maxima measured at official stations. Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution around the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,100End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's August 22 high, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating a peak near 34–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity and light northerly flow. These align with August climatology, where average highs range 31–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C amid typical summer heat and occasional stagnation. Recent model updates have reinforced this range without signals of stronger ridging that could push toward 37°C or higher, while the market's heavy weighting on 35°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in daily maxima measured at official stations. Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution around the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,100End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term meteorological forecasts position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's August 22 high, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicating a peak near 34–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity and light northerly flow. These align with August climatology, where average highs range 31–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C amid typical summer heat and occasional stagnation. Recent model updates have reinforced this range without signals of stronger ridging that could push toward 37°C or higher, while the market's heavy weighting on 35°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in daily maxima measured at official stations. Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution around the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions