Forecast models and official guidance from agencies including the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C for August 21, 2026, reflecting Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate where high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy or overcast skies suppress deeper drops. Northerly winds of 6–13 km/h and urban heat-island effects further anchor minimum temperatures near the historical late-August average of roughly 26°C. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs show only modest spread from variable cloud timing or isolated showers, which could briefly allow 24°C readings or hold values at 27°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C bins because these align with the narrow, high-probability range across multiple deterministic and statistical forecasts, with lower probabilities assigned to rarer cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and sunrise observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
24°C 59%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
59%
25°C
31%
26°C
64%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$177 Vol.
1%
23°C
$144 Vol.
18%
24°C
$144 Vol.
59%
25°C
$75 Vol.
31%
26°C
$176 Vol.
64%
27°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from agencies including the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C for August 21, 2026, reflecting Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate where high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy or overcast skies suppress deeper drops. Northerly winds of 6–13 km/h and urban heat-island effects further anchor minimum temperatures near the historical late-August average of roughly 26°C. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs show only modest spread from variable cloud timing or isolated showers, which could briefly allow 24°C readings or hold values at 27°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C bins because these align with the narrow, high-probability range across multiple deterministic and statistical forecasts, with lower probabilities assigned to rarer cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and sunrise observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,385End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from agencies including the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C for August 21, 2026, reflecting Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate where high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy or overcast skies suppress deeper drops. Northerly winds of 6–13 km/h and urban heat-island effects further anchor minimum temperatures near the historical late-August average of roughly 26°C. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs show only modest spread from variable cloud timing or isolated showers, which could briefly allow 24°C readings or hold values at 27°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C bins because these align with the narrow, high-probability range across multiple deterministic and statistical forecasts, with lower probabilities assigned to rarer cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and sunrise observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,385End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and official guidance from agencies including the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C for August 21, 2026, reflecting Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate where high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy or overcast skies suppress deeper drops. Northerly winds of 6–13 km/h and urban heat-island effects further anchor minimum temperatures near the historical late-August average of roughly 26°C. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs show only modest spread from variable cloud timing or isolated showers, which could briefly allow 24°C readings or hold values at 27°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C bins because these align with the narrow, high-probability range across multiple deterministic and statistical forecasts, with lower probabilities assigned to rarer cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and sunrise observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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