Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data for Central Park indicate a minimum temperature settling in the mid-60s°F under clear to mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and dry air masses typical for early September in the region. Model consensus supports limited overnight cooling consistent with the 66-67°F bin dominating trader positioning, reflecting high confidence in the absence of stronger cold advection or widespread cloud cover. Historical climatology shows similar early-fall minima often cluster near this range when high pressure dominates. A shift to increased low-level moisture or a delayed frontal passage could push readings lower into the low 60s, while stronger mixing or a warmer boundary layer might hold the minimum above 67°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 7?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 7?
66-67°F 98%
64-65°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$7,380 Vol.
$7,380 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
98%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 98%
64-65°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$7,380 Vol.
$7,380 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
55°F or below
$296 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$187 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$172 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$561 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,556 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,806 Vol.
98%
68-69°F
$194 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$109 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$399 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$901 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data for Central Park indicate a minimum temperature settling in the mid-60s°F under clear to mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and dry air masses typical for early September in the region. Model consensus supports limited overnight cooling consistent with the 66-67°F bin dominating trader positioning, reflecting high confidence in the absence of stronger cold advection or widespread cloud cover. Historical climatology shows similar early-fall minima often cluster near this range when high pressure dominates. A shift to increased low-level moisture or a delayed frontal passage could push readings lower into the low 60s, while stronger mixing or a warmer boundary layer might hold the minimum above 67°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,380End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data for Central Park indicate a minimum temperature settling in the mid-60s°F under clear to mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and dry air masses typical for early September in the region. Model consensus supports limited overnight cooling consistent with the 66-67°F bin dominating trader positioning, reflecting high confidence in the absence of stronger cold advection or widespread cloud cover. Historical climatology shows similar early-fall minima often cluster near this range when high pressure dominates. A shift to increased low-level moisture or a delayed frontal passage could push readings lower into the low 60s, while stronger mixing or a warmer boundary layer might hold the minimum above 67°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,380End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data for Central Park indicate a minimum temperature settling in the mid-60s°F under clear to mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and dry air masses typical for early September in the region. Model consensus supports limited overnight cooling consistent with the 66-67°F bin dominating trader positioning, reflecting high confidence in the absence of stronger cold advection or widespread cloud cover. Historical climatology shows similar early-fall minima often cluster near this range when high pressure dominates. A shift to increased low-level moisture or a delayed frontal passage could push readings lower into the low 60s, while stronger mixing or a warmer boundary layer might hold the minimum above 67°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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