The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
31°C or higher 73%
29°C 51%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
51%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
73%
31°C or higher 73%
29°C 51%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$210 Vol.
1%
22°C
$135 Vol.
16%
23°C
$26 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$5 Vol.
51%
30°C
$5 Vol.
12%
31°C or higher
$155 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$536End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$536End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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