PAGASA’s latest outlooks for Metro Manila on August 24 place daytime highs near 30–32 °C under ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence, with 40–90 % rain chances and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the long-term August mean of roughly 30 °C. Model consensus shows only modest variability, so brief periods of reduced convection could allow brief spikes toward 32–33 °C while sustained showers favor 30 °C or below. These tightly bunched market probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and coverage of monsoon-driven cloudiness rather than any large-scale shift in atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 24?
31°C 31%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
31%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 31%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$3 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$85 Vol.
1%
28°C
$135 Vol.
3%
29°C
$23 Vol.
8%
30°C
$244 Vol.
19%
31°C
$475 Vol.
31%
32°C
$1,125 Vol.
27%
33°C
$576 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$113 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s latest outlooks for Metro Manila on August 24 place daytime highs near 30–32 °C under ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence, with 40–90 % rain chances and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the long-term August mean of roughly 30 °C. Model consensus shows only modest variability, so brief periods of reduced convection could allow brief spikes toward 32–33 °C while sustained showers favor 30 °C or below. These tightly bunched market probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and coverage of monsoon-driven cloudiness rather than any large-scale shift in atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,909End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s latest outlooks for Metro Manila on August 24 place daytime highs near 30–32 °C under ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence, with 40–90 % rain chances and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the long-term August mean of roughly 30 °C. Model consensus shows only modest variability, so brief periods of reduced convection could allow brief spikes toward 32–33 °C while sustained showers favor 30 °C or below. These tightly bunched market probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and coverage of monsoon-driven cloudiness rather than any large-scale shift in atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,909End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA’s latest outlooks for Metro Manila on August 24 place daytime highs near 30–32 °C under ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence, with 40–90 % rain chances and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the long-term August mean of roughly 30 °C. Model consensus shows only modest variability, so brief periods of reduced convection could allow brief spikes toward 32–33 °C while sustained showers favor 30 °C or below. These tightly bunched market probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and coverage of monsoon-driven cloudiness rather than any large-scale shift in atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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