**Trader sentiment for Karachi's August 21 lowest temperature centers on 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast.** Climatological baselines show August overnight lows averaging near 27°C (81°F), with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and sea breezes that moderate nighttime temperature drops. These factors suppress radiative cooling and keep minima clustered in a narrow 25–28°C range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C (39%) and 27°C (59%). Recent observational data from early-to-mid August 2026 indicate minimums mostly between 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light monsoon influence, though some periods of clearer conditions or slightly drier air allowed modest cooling. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and model consensus point to continued normal monsoon activity without strong systems or extreme humidity spikes on the 21st that would push temperatures notably lower (e.g., below 25°C) or higher. This stable pattern, combined with the coastal thermal moderation typical of the season, underpins the tight clustering around 26–27°C and the very low odds assigned to outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
24°C 64%
25°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
64%
25°C
26%
26°C
39%
27°C
60%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 64%
25°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$287 Vol.
1%
23°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$116 Vol.
64%
25°C
$90 Vol.
26%
26°C
$23 Vol.
39%
27°C
$20 Vol.
60%
28°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's August 21 lowest temperature centers on 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast.**
Climatological baselines show August overnight lows averaging near 27°C (81°F), with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and sea breezes that moderate nighttime temperature drops. These factors suppress radiative cooling and keep minima clustered in a narrow 25–28°C range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C (39%) and 27°C (59%).
Recent observational data from early-to-mid August 2026 indicate minimums mostly between 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light monsoon influence, though some periods of clearer conditions or slightly drier air allowed modest cooling. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and model consensus point to continued normal monsoon activity without strong systems or extreme humidity spikes on the 21st that would push temperatures notably lower (e.g., below 25°C) or higher. This stable pattern, combined with the coastal thermal moderation typical of the season, underpins the tight clustering around 26–27°C and the very low odds assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,464End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's August 21 lowest temperature centers on 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast.**
Climatological baselines show August overnight lows averaging near 27°C (81°F), with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and sea breezes that moderate nighttime temperature drops. These factors suppress radiative cooling and keep minima clustered in a narrow 25–28°C range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C (39%) and 27°C (59%).
Recent observational data from early-to-mid August 2026 indicate minimums mostly between 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light monsoon influence, though some periods of clearer conditions or slightly drier air allowed modest cooling. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and model consensus point to continued normal monsoon activity without strong systems or extreme humidity spikes on the 21st that would push temperatures notably lower (e.g., below 25°C) or higher. This stable pattern, combined with the coastal thermal moderation typical of the season, underpins the tight clustering around 26–27°C and the very low odds assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,464End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi's August 21 lowest temperature centers on 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast.** Climatological baselines show August overnight lows averaging near 27°C (81°F), with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and sea breezes that moderate nighttime temperature drops. These factors suppress radiative cooling and keep minima clustered in a narrow 25–28°C range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C (39%) and 27°C (59%). Recent observational data from early-to-mid August 2026 indicate minimums mostly between 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light monsoon influence, though some periods of clearer conditions or slightly drier air allowed modest cooling. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and model consensus point to continued normal monsoon activity without strong systems or extreme humidity spikes on the 21st that would push temperatures notably lower (e.g., below 25°C) or higher. This stable pattern, combined with the coastal thermal moderation typical of the season, underpins the tight clustering around 26–27°C and the very low odds assigned to outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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