Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate the overnight low for Houston on September 8 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with point temperatures centered near 79–81°F under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling. This warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer Gulf influence—has produced consistently elevated minimums in recent days, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 74°F for the date. Model consensus shows no incoming cold front or significant weather system to alter the pattern before resolution, supporting trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets as the most probable outcomes while leaving modest probability for slightly cooler readings if localized cooling exceeds expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 8?
78-79°F 56%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 56%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
71°F or below
$239 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$158 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
24%
78-79°F
$54 Vol.
39%
80-81°F
$314 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$19 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$22 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$30 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate the overnight low for Houston on September 8 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with point temperatures centered near 79–81°F under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling. This warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer Gulf influence—has produced consistently elevated minimums in recent days, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 74°F for the date. Model consensus shows no incoming cold front or significant weather system to alter the pattern before resolution, supporting trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets as the most probable outcomes while leaving modest probability for slightly cooler readings if localized cooling exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,069End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate the overnight low for Houston on September 8 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with point temperatures centered near 79–81°F under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling. This warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer Gulf influence—has produced consistently elevated minimums in recent days, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 74°F for the date. Model consensus shows no incoming cold front or significant weather system to alter the pattern before resolution, supporting trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets as the most probable outcomes while leaving modest probability for slightly cooler readings if localized cooling exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,069End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate the overnight low for Houston on September 8 will likely fall in the upper 70s, with point temperatures centered near 79–81°F under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling. This warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer Gulf influence—has produced consistently elevated minimums in recent days, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 74°F for the date. Model consensus shows no incoming cold front or significant weather system to alter the pattern before resolution, supporting trader emphasis on the 78–81°F brackets as the most probable outcomes while leaving modest probability for slightly cooler readings if localized cooling exceeds expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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