Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show closely aligned but variable overnight low temperatures for Guangzhou on August 24, with trader sentiment clustering around 25–28°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and regional moisture. Subtropical conditions typical of late summer feature high humidity that moderates radiative cooling at night, while any passing disturbances or changes in the subtropical high-pressure ridge could shift advection of cooler air from inland or the coast. Historical August minima often fall near 26°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term ensemble runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies that would allow greater heat loss. Updated model guidance and local observations expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast spread for daily extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
24°C 36%
27°C 22%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
17%
24°C
36%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
10%
24°C 36%
27°C 22%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$75 Vol.
1%
22°C
$145 Vol.
3%
23°C
$62 Vol.
17%
24°C
$15 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$16 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$26 Vol.
17%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show closely aligned but variable overnight low temperatures for Guangzhou on August 24, with trader sentiment clustering around 25–28°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and regional moisture. Subtropical conditions typical of late summer feature high humidity that moderates radiative cooling at night, while any passing disturbances or changes in the subtropical high-pressure ridge could shift advection of cooler air from inland or the coast. Historical August minima often fall near 26°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term ensemble runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies that would allow greater heat loss. Updated model guidance and local observations expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast spread for daily extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$490End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show closely aligned but variable overnight low temperatures for Guangzhou on August 24, with trader sentiment clustering around 25–28°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and regional moisture. Subtropical conditions typical of late summer feature high humidity that moderates radiative cooling at night, while any passing disturbances or changes in the subtropical high-pressure ridge could shift advection of cooler air from inland or the coast. Historical August minima often fall near 26°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term ensemble runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies that would allow greater heat loss. Updated model guidance and local observations expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast spread for daily extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$490End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show closely aligned but variable overnight low temperatures for Guangzhou on August 24, with trader sentiment clustering around 25–28°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and regional moisture. Subtropical conditions typical of late summer feature high humidity that moderates radiative cooling at night, while any passing disturbances or changes in the subtropical high-pressure ridge could shift advection of cooler air from inland or the coast. Historical August minima often fall near 26°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term ensemble runs diverge on exact timing of any clearing skies that would allow greater heat loss. Updated model guidance and local observations expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast spread for daily extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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