Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory indicate moderate rain and highs near 32–34°C for August 24, keeping 34°C and 35°C+ as the closest market-implied outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Afternoon convective activity tied to the East Asian monsoon can produce brief temperature spikes or suppress them depending on timing and intensity. Model ensembles show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in rainfall onset and urban heat retention, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between 33°C and 35°C+ rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
34°C 34%
35°C or higher 30%
33°C 22%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
22%
34°C
34%
35°C or higher
30%
34°C 34%
35°C or higher 30%
33°C 22%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$618 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$413 Vol.
2%
31°C
$109 Vol.
5%
32°C
$382 Vol.
7%
33°C
$369 Vol.
22%
34°C
$277 Vol.
34%
35°C or higher
$2,492 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory indicate moderate rain and highs near 32–34°C for August 24, keeping 34°C and 35°C+ as the closest market-implied outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Afternoon convective activity tied to the East Asian monsoon can produce brief temperature spikes or suppress them depending on timing and intensity. Model ensembles show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in rainfall onset and urban heat retention, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between 33°C and 35°C+ rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,427End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory indicate moderate rain and highs near 32–34°C for August 24, keeping 34°C and 35°C+ as the closest market-implied outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Afternoon convective activity tied to the East Asian monsoon can produce brief temperature spikes or suppress them depending on timing and intensity. Model ensembles show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in rainfall onset and urban heat retention, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between 33°C and 35°C+ rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,427End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory indicate moderate rain and highs near 32–34°C for August 24, keeping 34°C and 35°C+ as the closest market-implied outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Afternoon convective activity tied to the East Asian monsoon can produce brief temperature spikes or suppress them depending on timing and intensity. Model ensembles show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in rainfall onset and urban heat retention, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between 33°C and 35°C+ rather than favoring extremes. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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