Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and light southerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions sustain urban heat island effects in the densely built, river-confluence city, keeping lows above the 24–26°C climatological average for late August. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal moisture, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C outcomes. Traders incorporate these variables against historical precedent, where clear skies can allow drops toward 23°C while persistent humidity caps cooling. Updated overnight observations and final model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the narrow probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
27°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
28°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
40%
28°C
38%
29°C or higher
38%
27°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
28°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$40 Vol.
1%
20°C
$23 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$85 Vol.
5%
23°C
$49 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$42 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and light southerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions sustain urban heat island effects in the densely built, river-confluence city, keeping lows above the 24–26°C climatological average for late August. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal moisture, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C outcomes. Traders incorporate these variables against historical precedent, where clear skies can allow drops toward 23°C while persistent humidity caps cooling. Updated overnight observations and final model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$308End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and light southerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions sustain urban heat island effects in the densely built, river-confluence city, keeping lows above the 24–26°C climatological average for late August. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal moisture, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C outcomes. Traders incorporate these variables against historical precedent, where clear skies can allow drops toward 23°C while persistent humidity caps cooling. Updated overnight observations and final model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$308End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and light southerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions sustain urban heat island effects in the densely built, river-confluence city, keeping lows above the 24–26°C climatological average for late August. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal moisture, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C outcomes. Traders incorporate these variables against historical precedent, where clear skies can allow drops toward 23°C while persistent humidity caps cooling. Updated overnight observations and final model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the narrow probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions