Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining hot, humid conditions into August 24, with daytime maxima potentially reaching 39°C absent significant cooling from convection. Afternoon scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by increasing atmospheric moisture and instability, introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could limit peaks to 36–37°C while delayed or localized activity allows brief spikes toward 38°C. Recent observations show highs of 36–38.8°C amid similar patterns, and model consensus remains tight on boundary-layer temperatures near 35–37°C before any rain effects. Traders’ narrow spread between 36°C and 37°C reflects this sensitivity to convective timing and coverage ahead of the next model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
37°C 34%
36°C 27%
38°C 18%
35°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
27%
37°C
34%
38°C
18%
39°C or higher
6%
37°C 34%
36°C 27%
38°C 18%
35°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
27%
37°C
34%
38°C
18%
39°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining hot, humid conditions into August 24, with daytime maxima potentially reaching 39°C absent significant cooling from convection. Afternoon scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by increasing atmospheric moisture and instability, introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could limit peaks to 36–37°C while delayed or localized activity allows brief spikes toward 38°C. Recent observations show highs of 36–38.8°C amid similar patterns, and model consensus remains tight on boundary-layer temperatures near 35–37°C before any rain effects. Traders’ narrow spread between 36°C and 37°C reflects this sensitivity to convective timing and coverage ahead of the next model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions