Trump’s approval rating has remained under pressure in 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February and persistent economic concerns over affordability and energy costs. Recent polls, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, show support near 33-38 percent, with declines tied to higher gas prices, foreign policy handling, and broader cost-of-living issues as the November midterms approach. Modest rebounds earlier in the year have given way to renewed dips, reflecting the impact of sustained military involvement and related economic headwinds. Traders assessing the year’s peak will watch for any de-escalation signals, economic data releases, or shifts in public sentiment ahead of the elections that could influence short-term polling movements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
4%
↑ 46%
6%
↑ 47%
11%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
7%
$7,511 Vol.
↑ 44%
$3,192 Vol.
6%
↑ 45%
$300 Vol.
4%
↑ 46%
$1,036 Vol.
6%
↑ 47%
$480 Vol.
11%
↑ 48%
$779 Vol.
5%
↑ 49%
$656 Vol.
4%
↑ 50%
$1,067 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has remained under pressure in 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February and persistent economic concerns over affordability and energy costs. Recent polls, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, show support near 33-38 percent, with declines tied to higher gas prices, foreign policy handling, and broader cost-of-living issues as the November midterms approach. Modest rebounds earlier in the year have given way to renewed dips, reflecting the impact of sustained military involvement and related economic headwinds. Traders assessing the year’s peak will watch for any de-escalation signals, economic data releases, or shifts in public sentiment ahead of the elections that could influence short-term polling movements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$7,511End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has remained under pressure in 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February and persistent economic concerns over affordability and energy costs. Recent polls, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, show support near 33-38 percent, with declines tied to higher gas prices, foreign policy handling, and broader cost-of-living issues as the November midterms approach. Modest rebounds earlier in the year have given way to renewed dips, reflecting the impact of sustained military involvement and related economic headwinds. Traders assessing the year’s peak will watch for any de-escalation signals, economic data releases, or shifts in public sentiment ahead of the elections that could influence short-term polling movements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$7,511End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has remained under pressure in 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in February and persistent economic concerns over affordability and energy costs. Recent polls, including Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, show support near 33-38 percent, with declines tied to higher gas prices, foreign policy handling, and broader cost-of-living issues as the November midterms approach. Modest rebounds earlier in the year have given way to renewed dips, reflecting the impact of sustained military involvement and related economic headwinds. Traders assessing the year’s peak will watch for any de-escalation signals, economic data releases, or shifts in public sentiment ahead of the elections that could influence short-term polling movements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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