Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent range with recent polls showing figures as low as 33 percent amid the ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran that resumed in mid-July and persistent voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and affordability. These developments have widened negative net ratings and contributed to historically low readings at this point in a second term. Market sentiment on the peak level for the remainder of the year centers on whether any de-escalation in the Iran conflict, shifts in economic indicators, or pre-midterm dynamics could produce a temporary rebound before November. Traders assess historical patterns of second-term volatility alongside the limited time left in 2026 for measurable improvement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
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↑ 46%
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6%
$7,478 Vol.
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$3,192 Vol.
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$300 Vol.
4%
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$1,036 Vol.
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$480 Vol.
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$747 Vol.
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$656 Vol.
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$1,067 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent range with recent polls showing figures as low as 33 percent amid the ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran that resumed in mid-July and persistent voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and affordability. These developments have widened negative net ratings and contributed to historically low readings at this point in a second term. Market sentiment on the peak level for the remainder of the year centers on whether any de-escalation in the Iran conflict, shifts in economic indicators, or pre-midterm dynamics could produce a temporary rebound before November. Traders assess historical patterns of second-term volatility alongside the limited time left in 2026 for measurable improvement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$7,478End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent range with recent polls showing figures as low as 33 percent amid the ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran that resumed in mid-July and persistent voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and affordability. These developments have widened negative net ratings and contributed to historically low readings at this point in a second term. Market sentiment on the peak level for the remainder of the year centers on whether any de-escalation in the Iran conflict, shifts in economic indicators, or pre-midterm dynamics could produce a temporary rebound before November. Traders assess historical patterns of second-term volatility alongside the limited time left in 2026 for measurable improvement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$7,478End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's job approval has declined steadily through 2026, averaging in the mid-to-high 30s percent range with recent polls showing figures as low as 33 percent amid the ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran that resumed in mid-July and persistent voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and affordability. These developments have widened negative net ratings and contributed to historically low readings at this point in a second term. Market sentiment on the peak level for the remainder of the year centers on whether any de-escalation in the Iran conflict, shifts in economic indicators, or pre-midterm dynamics could produce a temporary rebound before November. Traders assess historical patterns of second-term volatility alongside the limited time left in 2026 for measurable improvement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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