Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 amid the administration’s military actions against Iran, including renewed strikes in mid-July that triggered ongoing conflict and public opposition in multiple polls. Majorities in recent surveys, including Quinnipiac and CNN/SSRS, expressed disapproval of the intervention due to costs and casualties, contributing to net approval readings as low as -27. Persistent economic concerns over affordability, inflation, and energy prices have compounded the drop, with overall job approval hovering near 33-38 percent across trackers. The November 2026 midterm elections represent the next major scheduled test of voter sentiment, while further foreign-policy developments or shifts in economic conditions could influence whether ratings stabilize or reach new lows before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$107,162 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 amid the administration’s military actions against Iran, including renewed strikes in mid-July that triggered ongoing conflict and public opposition in multiple polls. Majorities in recent surveys, including Quinnipiac and CNN/SSRS, expressed disapproval of the intervention due to costs and casualties, contributing to net approval readings as low as -27. Persistent economic concerns over affordability, inflation, and energy prices have compounded the drop, with overall job approval hovering near 33-38 percent across trackers. The November 2026 midterm elections represent the next major scheduled test of voter sentiment, while further foreign-policy developments or shifts in economic conditions could influence whether ratings stabilize or reach new lows before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$107,162End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 amid the administration’s military actions against Iran, including renewed strikes in mid-July that triggered ongoing conflict and public opposition in multiple polls. Majorities in recent surveys, including Quinnipiac and CNN/SSRS, expressed disapproval of the intervention due to costs and casualties, contributing to net approval readings as low as -27. Persistent economic concerns over affordability, inflation, and energy prices have compounded the drop, with overall job approval hovering near 33-38 percent across trackers. The November 2026 midterm elections represent the next major scheduled test of voter sentiment, while further foreign-policy developments or shifts in economic conditions could influence whether ratings stabilize or reach new lows before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$107,162End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 amid the administration’s military actions against Iran, including renewed strikes in mid-July that triggered ongoing conflict and public opposition in multiple polls. Majorities in recent surveys, including Quinnipiac and CNN/SSRS, expressed disapproval of the intervention due to costs and casualties, contributing to net approval readings as low as -27. Persistent economic concerns over affordability, inflation, and energy prices have compounded the drop, with overall job approval hovering near 33-38 percent across trackers. The November 2026 midterm elections represent the next major scheduled test of voter sentiment, while further foreign-policy developments or shifts in economic conditions could influence whether ratings stabilize or reach new lows before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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