Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 24 amid persistent high humidity above 75% and expected thundershowers. Cloud cover and rainfall will limit solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling, keeping peaks clustered in this narrow range rather than allowing spikes above 33°C or drops below 30°C. Trader sentiment reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 31°C (28.5%) and 32°C (25%) captures remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions where convective activity often caps maximum temperatures. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
NEW
$12,955 Vol.
NEW
$12,955 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
13%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
NEW
$12,955 Vol.
NEW
$12,955 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$384 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,301 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,064 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2,615 Vol.
15%
31°C
$3,018 Vol.
30%
32°C
$904 Vol.
26%
33°C
$1,035 Vol.
13%
34°C
$840 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$745 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 24 amid persistent high humidity above 75% and expected thundershowers. Cloud cover and rainfall will limit solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling, keeping peaks clustered in this narrow range rather than allowing spikes above 33°C or drops below 30°C. Trader sentiment reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 31°C (28.5%) and 32°C (25%) captures remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions where convective activity often caps maximum temperatures. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,955End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 24 amid persistent high humidity above 75% and expected thundershowers. Cloud cover and rainfall will limit solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling, keeping peaks clustered in this narrow range rather than allowing spikes above 33°C or drops below 30°C. Trader sentiment reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 31°C (28.5%) and 32°C (25%) captures remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions where convective activity often caps maximum temperatures. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,955End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on August 24 amid persistent high humidity above 75% and expected thundershowers. Cloud cover and rainfall will limit solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling, keeping peaks clustered in this narrow range rather than allowing spikes above 33°C or drops below 30°C. Trader sentiment reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 31°C (28.5%) and 32°C (25%) captures remaining uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, consistent with typical August monsoon conditions where convective activity often caps maximum temperatures. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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