Current H200 rental prices hover near $3.70–$4.50 per hour across specialist clouds and marketplaces as of mid-August 2026, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $7. The tightly matched leading outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether sustained AI demand will lift rates toward $4.50–$5 or if accelerating Blackwell B200 availability and marketplace competition will cap or ease them lower by October. Supply constraints in HBM memory and packaging continue to limit new capacity, while spot and dedicated listings show modest downward pressure from prior months. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential demand spikes from large model training runs and any hyperscaler pricing adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 30%
$4.50-$5.00 28%
$3.50-$4.00 24%
$5.00-$5.50 14%
<$3.50
12%
$3.50-$4.00
24%
$4.00-$4.50
30%
$4.50-$5.00
28%
$5.00-$5.50
14%
$5.50+
14%
$4.00-$4.50 30%
$4.50-$5.00 28%
$3.50-$4.00 24%
$5.00-$5.50 14%
<$3.50
12%
$3.50-$4.00
24%
$4.00-$4.50
30%
$4.50-$5.00
28%
$5.00-$5.50
14%
$5.50+
14%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current H200 rental prices hover near $3.70–$4.50 per hour across specialist clouds and marketplaces as of mid-August 2026, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $7. The tightly matched leading outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether sustained AI demand will lift rates toward $4.50–$5 or if accelerating Blackwell B200 availability and marketplace competition will cap or ease them lower by October. Supply constraints in HBM memory and packaging continue to limit new capacity, while spot and dedicated listings show modest downward pressure from prior months. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential demand spikes from large model training runs and any hyperscaler pricing adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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