Traders see Elon Musk’s posting pace this week as tightly contested in the low-to-mid 200s because his recent daily volume has hovered around 30–50 original posts and reposts, a rate that projects squarely into the leading 180–239 buckets. Momentum from the prior week’s 220–239 surge has carried over, but without a major catalyst such as a Tesla unveil, SpaceX launch, or high-profile political exchange, the market lacks a clear upward bias. Ongoing activity around xAI hiring and routine commentary keeps the floor from dropping below 180, while the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news prevents the 240+ ranges from gaining ground. Resolution hinges on whether Musk sustains his baseline cadence through August 18 or experiences the typical mid-week lull that has defined many of his recent seven-day totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 29%
180-199 27%
220-239 20%
160-179 13%
$826,606 Vol.
$826,606 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
2%
160-179
13%
180-199
27%
200-219
29%
220-239
20%
240-259
8%
260-279
3%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 29%
180-199 27%
220-239 20%
160-179 13%
$826,606 Vol.
$826,606 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
100-119
$61,450 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$77,933 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$61,546 Vol.
2%
160-179
$65,261 Vol.
13%
180-199
$47,295 Vol.
27%
200-219
$27,224 Vol.
29%
220-239
$18,341 Vol.
20%
240-259
$28,812 Vol.
8%
260-279
$41,525 Vol.
3%
280-299
$40,237 Vol.
1%
300-319
$42,477 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$25,158 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$30,240 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s posting pace this week as tightly contested in the low-to-mid 200s because his recent daily volume has hovered around 30–50 original posts and reposts, a rate that projects squarely into the leading 180–239 buckets. Momentum from the prior week’s 220–239 surge has carried over, but without a major catalyst such as a Tesla unveil, SpaceX launch, or high-profile political exchange, the market lacks a clear upward bias. Ongoing activity around xAI hiring and routine commentary keeps the floor from dropping below 180, while the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news prevents the 240+ ranges from gaining ground. Resolution hinges on whether Musk sustains his baseline cadence through August 18 or experiences the typical mid-week lull that has defined many of his recent seven-day totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$826,606End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s posting pace this week as tightly contested in the low-to-mid 200s because his recent daily volume has hovered around 30–50 original posts and reposts, a rate that projects squarely into the leading 180–239 buckets. Momentum from the prior week’s 220–239 surge has carried over, but without a major catalyst such as a Tesla unveil, SpaceX launch, or high-profile political exchange, the market lacks a clear upward bias. Ongoing activity around xAI hiring and routine commentary keeps the floor from dropping below 180, while the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news prevents the 240+ ranges from gaining ground. Resolution hinges on whether Musk sustains his baseline cadence through August 18 or experiences the typical mid-week lull that has defined many of his recent seven-day totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$826,606End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk’s posting pace this week as tightly contested in the low-to-mid 200s because his recent daily volume has hovered around 30–50 original posts and reposts, a rate that projects squarely into the leading 180–239 buckets. Momentum from the prior week’s 220–239 surge has carried over, but without a major catalyst such as a Tesla unveil, SpaceX launch, or high-profile political exchange, the market lacks a clear upward bias. Ongoing activity around xAI hiring and routine commentary keeps the floor from dropping below 180, while the absence of weekend spikes or breaking news prevents the 240+ ranges from gaining ground. Resolution hinges on whether Musk sustains his baseline cadence through August 18 or experiences the typical mid-week lull that has defined many of his recent seven-day totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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