Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19–24 posts per day, with frequent spikes well above that pace during periods of political intensity. The immediately preceding week (September 1–8) settled in the 180–199 bracket after a Labor Day weekend surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session and multiple AI-generated image barrages. Traders appear to price in the likelihood that this elevated cadence—driven by ongoing midterm-related messaging, foreign policy commentary, and the president’s established pattern of rapid, high-volume posting—will continue or accelerate into the September 11–18 window, pushing totals into the 200+ range. Lower brackets receive sharply reduced probability because sustained daily averages below 22–23 posts have become atypical outside quiet periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?
200+ 53%
180-199 17%
160-179 16%
140-159 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
6%
120-139
7%
140-159
10%
160-179
16%
180-199
17%
200+
53%
200+ 53%
180-199 17%
160-179 16%
140-159 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<20
$575 Vol.
1%
20-39
$20 Vol.
1%
40-59
$20 Vol.
1%
60-79
$20 Vol.
1%
80-99
$20 Vol.
1%
100-119
$36 Vol.
6%
120-139
$26 Vol.
7%
140-159
$20 Vol.
10%
160-179
$12 Vol.
16%
180-199
$196 Vol.
17%
200+
$557 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19–24 posts per day, with frequent spikes well above that pace during periods of political intensity. The immediately preceding week (September 1–8) settled in the 180–199 bracket after a Labor Day weekend surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session and multiple AI-generated image barrages. Traders appear to price in the likelihood that this elevated cadence—driven by ongoing midterm-related messaging, foreign policy commentary, and the president’s established pattern of rapid, high-volume posting—will continue or accelerate into the September 11–18 window, pushing totals into the 200+ range. Lower brackets receive sharply reduced probability because sustained daily averages below 22–23 posts have become atypical outside quiet periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,502End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19–24 posts per day, with frequent spikes well above that pace during periods of political intensity. The immediately preceding week (September 1–8) settled in the 180–199 bracket after a Labor Day weekend surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session and multiple AI-generated image barrages. Traders appear to price in the likelihood that this elevated cadence—driven by ongoing midterm-related messaging, foreign policy commentary, and the president’s established pattern of rapid, high-volume posting—will continue or accelerate into the September 11–18 window, pushing totals into the 200+ range. Lower brackets receive sharply reduced probability because sustained daily averages below 22–23 posts have become atypical outside quiet periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,502End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19–24 posts per day, with frequent spikes well above that pace during periods of political intensity. The immediately preceding week (September 1–8) settled in the 180–199 bracket after a Labor Day weekend surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session and multiple AI-generated image barrages. Traders appear to price in the likelihood that this elevated cadence—driven by ongoing midterm-related messaging, foreign policy commentary, and the president’s established pattern of rapid, high-volume posting—will continue or accelerate into the September 11–18 window, pushing totals into the 200+ range. Lower brackets receive sharply reduced probability because sustained daily averages below 22–23 posts have become atypical outside quiet periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions