Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the market’s leading 200+ outcome. Analyses of 2026 data show daily averages of 19–27 posts, including reposts and quote posts, with spikes during periods of economic commentary, candidate endorsements, and geopolitical developments. Recent weeks have featured sustained output on jobs figures, legislative priorities, and foreign policy, without evident slowdowns ahead of the September 8–15 window. Traders appear to price in this baseline frequency plus potential bursts around scheduled data releases or breaking events, yielding the current distribution where lower ranges command minimal implied probability. Resolution depends on verified post counts captured by primary data sources for the full period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
200+ 53%
180-199 15%
160-179 13%
40-59 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
9%
60-79
4%
80-99
4%
100-119
4%
120-139
4%
140-159
4%
160-179
13%
180-199
15%
200+
53%
200+ 53%
180-199 15%
160-179 13%
40-59 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
$160 Vol.
1%
20-39
$8 Vol.
1%
40-59
$8 Vol.
9%
60-79
$0 Vol.
4%
80-99
$0 Vol.
4%
100-119
$0 Vol.
4%
120-139
$0 Vol.
4%
140-159
$0 Vol.
4%
160-179
$6 Vol.
13%
180-199
$28 Vol.
15%
200+
$297 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the market’s leading 200+ outcome. Analyses of 2026 data show daily averages of 19–27 posts, including reposts and quote posts, with spikes during periods of economic commentary, candidate endorsements, and geopolitical developments. Recent weeks have featured sustained output on jobs figures, legislative priorities, and foreign policy, without evident slowdowns ahead of the September 8–15 window. Traders appear to price in this baseline frequency plus potential bursts around scheduled data releases or breaking events, yielding the current distribution where lower ranges command minimal implied probability. Resolution depends on verified post counts captured by primary data sources for the full period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$507End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the market’s leading 200+ outcome. Analyses of 2026 data show daily averages of 19–27 posts, including reposts and quote posts, with spikes during periods of economic commentary, candidate endorsements, and geopolitical developments. Recent weeks have featured sustained output on jobs figures, legislative priorities, and foreign policy, without evident slowdowns ahead of the September 8–15 window. Traders appear to price in this baseline frequency plus potential bursts around scheduled data releases or breaking events, yielding the current distribution where lower ranges command minimal implied probability. Resolution depends on verified post counts captured by primary data sources for the full period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$507End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the market’s leading 200+ outcome. Analyses of 2026 data show daily averages of 19–27 posts, including reposts and quote posts, with spikes during periods of economic commentary, candidate endorsements, and geopolitical developments. Recent weeks have featured sustained output on jobs figures, legislative priorities, and foreign policy, without evident slowdowns ahead of the September 8–15 window. Traders appear to price in this baseline frequency plus potential bursts around scheduled data releases or breaking events, yielding the current distribution where lower ranges command minimal implied probability. Resolution depends on verified post counts captured by primary data sources for the full period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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