**The Pokémon Center exclusive Elite Trainer Box for Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes is currently trading in the low-to-mid $400s on major secondary platforms, with recent TCGplayer market prices near $405–409 and verified sales clustering around $385–406.** This positioning, combined with a modest downward drift over the past several months, underpins the 67% market-implied probability that the sealed box closes below the $414.38 threshold on September 30. Released in February 2026 as part of a staggered rollout for the oversized 295-card set, the exclusive version (11 packs plus stamped promos) commanded strong early premiums but has followed the typical post-launch trajectory for Pokémon Center ETBs: initial hype giving way to broader supply on marketplaces and gradual softening. Recent data shows 90-day declines near 20% alongside stable-to-soft weekly movement, with over 100 active listings indicating ample liquidity rather than scarcity-driven spikes. No major catalysts—such as new set releases, high-profile tournaments, or fresh Pokémon Center restocks—are expected in the narrow window before month-end to reverse this momentum. Traders are pricing in continued mild depreciation or range-bound behavior through September, consistent with historical patterns for comparable exclusive ETBs several months after launch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAscended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Price Over/Under $414.38 on September 30?
Over
Over
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $414.38.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $414.38.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $414.38.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) (Ascended Heroes) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $414.38.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**The Pokémon Center exclusive Elite Trainer Box for Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes is currently trading in the low-to-mid $400s on major secondary platforms, with recent TCGplayer market prices near $405–409 and verified sales clustering around $385–406.** This positioning, combined with a modest downward drift over the past several months, underpins the 67% market-implied probability that the sealed box closes below the $414.38 threshold on September 30. Released in February 2026 as part of a staggered rollout for the oversized 295-card set, the exclusive version (11 packs plus stamped promos) commanded strong early premiums but has followed the typical post-launch trajectory for Pokémon Center ETBs: initial hype giving way to broader supply on marketplaces and gradual softening. Recent data shows 90-day declines near 20% alongside stable-to-soft weekly movement, with over 100 active listings indicating ample liquidity rather than scarcity-driven spikes. No major catalysts—such as new set releases, high-profile tournaments, or fresh Pokémon Center restocks—are expected in the narrow window before month-end to reverse this momentum. Traders are pricing in continued mild depreciation or range-bound behavior through September, consistent with historical patterns for comparable exclusive ETBs several months after launch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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