**The Pikachu ex from the Ascended Heroes set (likely the #276/217 Special Illustration Rare) trades in a raw price range centered near or below the $1,059.87 threshold, with recent verified sales and listings clustering between roughly $820 and $1,050.** As of early September 2026, market data shows raw copies around $900–$1,143 depending on the platform, though actual eBay and TCGplayer transactions often land lower, including sub-$1,000 sales in the past week. This positioning, combined with flat-to-negative 30-day trends on several trackers and no fresh hype drivers like new set releases or major grading surges, underpins trader consensus favoring “Under.” The card’s value has stabilized after earlier peaks, typical for chase hyper-rares once initial pull-rate excitement fades and supply circulates. With September 30 still weeks away and no confirmed catalysts—such as Pokémon Center restocks, competitive play boosts, or viral social momentum—expected to push prices decisively higher, the market-implied 72.5% probability on “Under” reflects current supply-demand balance and the absence of near-term upward pressure.