The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27—the latest date permitted by law and the first full-term vote since 1988. Netanyahu’s coalition explicitly confirmed this timeline in mid-July after earlier proposals for an earlier dissolution or snap election in May and June failed to shift the date. Ongoing coalition negotiations and budget processes have prioritized completing the term rather than triggering early polls, with no major legislative or judicial actions since then indicating a change. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to the election occurring as scheduled, reflecting the procedural finality of the July dissolution and the absence of recent catalysts for delay or advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated90% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
90% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27—the latest date permitted by law and the first full-term vote since 1988. Netanyahu’s coalition explicitly confirmed this timeline in mid-July after earlier proposals for an earlier dissolution or snap election in May and June failed to shift the date. Ongoing coalition negotiations and budget processes have prioritized completing the term rather than triggering early polls, with no major legislative or judicial actions since then indicating a change. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to the election occurring as scheduled, reflecting the procedural finality of the July dissolution and the absence of recent catalysts for delay or advancement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$2,606End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27—the latest date permitted by law and the first full-term vote since 1988. Netanyahu’s coalition explicitly confirmed this timeline in mid-July after earlier proposals for an earlier dissolution or snap election in May and June failed to shift the date. Ongoing coalition negotiations and budget processes have prioritized completing the term rather than triggering early polls, with no major legislative or judicial actions since then indicating a change. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to the election occurring as scheduled, reflecting the procedural finality of the July dissolution and the absence of recent catalysts for delay or advancement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,606End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in legislative elections for October 27—the latest date permitted by law and the first full-term vote since 1988. Netanyahu’s coalition explicitly confirmed this timeline in mid-July after earlier proposals for an earlier dissolution or snap election in May and June failed to shift the date. Ongoing coalition negotiations and budget processes have prioritized completing the term rather than triggering early polls, with no major legislative or judicial actions since then indicating a change. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to the election occurring as scheduled, reflecting the procedural finality of the July dissolution and the absence of recent catalysts for delay or advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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