Trump’s longstanding personal and political alignment with Benjamin Netanyahu has positioned Likud as the frontrunner for an endorsement ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset vote, with trader consensus reflecting repeated statements from the U.S. president favoring the incumbent leader despite occasional friction over U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Recent comments in June indicated Trump would “most likely” back Netanyahu while still evaluating alternatives, reinforcing Likud’s advantage even as polls show a fragmented race between Likud, Yashar, and Together. Lower odds for smaller right-wing and religious parties such as Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and UTJ stem from their narrower bases and limited direct ties to Trump, while No Endorsement sits at roughly 30 percent amid uncertainty over whether any signal will come before election day. The market’s pricing captures the wisdom of crowds assessing how Trump’s foreign-policy priorities and domestic Israeli dynamics could shape any final decision in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Likud 67%
No Endorsement 31%
Yashar 2.5%
Together 1.9%
$19,913 Vol.
$19,913 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Likud
67%
Together
2%
Shas
<1%
Blue and White
<1%
Religious Zionism
2%
UTJ
1%
Otzma Yehudit
1%
Yisrael Beiteinu
<1%
Yashar
3%
Hadash–Ta'al
<1%
Democrats
<1%
New Hope
<1%
Noam
<1%
No Endorsement
31%
Likud 67%
No Endorsement 31%
Yashar 2.5%
Together 1.9%
$19,913 Vol.
$19,913 Vol.
Oct 28, 2026
Likud
$11,795 Vol.
67%
Together
$485 Vol.
2%
Shas
$368 Vol.
<1%
Blue and White
$772 Vol.
<1%
Religious Zionism
$352 Vol.
2%
UTJ
$631 Vol.
1%
Otzma Yehudit
$460 Vol.
1%
Yisrael Beiteinu
$290 Vol.
<1%
Yashar
$478 Vol.
3%
Hadash–Ta'al
$285 Vol.
<1%
Democrats
$310 Vol.
<1%
New Hope
$343 Vol.
<1%
Noam
$310 Vol.
<1%
No Endorsement
$3,034 Vol.
31%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.Trump’s longstanding personal and political alignment with Benjamin Netanyahu has positioned Likud as the frontrunner for an endorsement ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset vote, with trader consensus reflecting repeated statements from the U.S. president favoring the incumbent leader despite occasional friction over U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Recent comments in June indicated Trump would “most likely” back Netanyahu while still evaluating alternatives, reinforcing Likud’s advantage even as polls show a fragmented race between Likud, Yashar, and Together. Lower odds for smaller right-wing and religious parties such as Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and UTJ stem from their narrower bases and limited direct ties to Trump, while No Endorsement sits at roughly 30 percent amid uncertainty over whether any signal will come before election day. The market’s pricing captures the wisdom of crowds assessing how Trump’s foreign-policy priorities and domestic Israeli dynamics could shape any final decision in the remaining weeks.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$19,913End Date
Oct 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.Trump’s longstanding personal and political alignment with Benjamin Netanyahu has positioned Likud as the frontrunner for an endorsement ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset vote, with trader consensus reflecting repeated statements from the U.S. president favoring the incumbent leader despite occasional friction over U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Recent comments in June indicated Trump would “most likely” back Netanyahu while still evaluating alternatives, reinforcing Likud’s advantage even as polls show a fragmented race between Likud, Yashar, and Together. Lower odds for smaller right-wing and religious parties such as Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and UTJ stem from their narrower bases and limited direct ties to Trump, while No Endorsement sits at roughly 30 percent amid uncertainty over whether any signal will come before election day. The market’s pricing captures the wisdom of crowds assessing how Trump’s foreign-policy priorities and domestic Israeli dynamics could shape any final decision in the remaining weeks.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$19,913End Date
Oct 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s longstanding personal and political alignment with Benjamin Netanyahu has positioned Likud as the frontrunner for an endorsement ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset vote, with trader consensus reflecting repeated statements from the U.S. president favoring the incumbent leader despite occasional friction over U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Recent comments in June indicated Trump would “most likely” back Netanyahu while still evaluating alternatives, reinforcing Likud’s advantage even as polls show a fragmented race between Likud, Yashar, and Together. Lower odds for smaller right-wing and religious parties such as Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and UTJ stem from their narrower bases and limited direct ties to Trump, while No Endorsement sits at roughly 30 percent amid uncertainty over whether any signal will come before election day. The market’s pricing captures the wisdom of crowds assessing how Trump’s foreign-policy priorities and domestic Israeli dynamics could shape any final decision in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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