Recent Bank of Israel easing, including the 25 basis point cut to 3.5% in July 2026, followed by stable inflation near 1.9% and a rebounding economy, supports the market's strong preference for no change at the early September decision. Policymakers have cited a strong shekel, lower energy prices after U.S.-Iran developments, and forecasts of continued growth around 4% in 2026 as allowing gradual further easing over time, yet the committee has emphasized a cautious, data-dependent path without signaling an immediate third consecutive reduction. This positioning aligns with the 69.5% consensus on holding rates steady while leaving room for a possible cut should incoming CPI or labor data weaken.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 72%
Decrease 29%
Increase <1%
$50,240 Vol.
$50,240 Vol.
Decrease
29%
No Change
72%
Increase
<1%
No Change 72%
Decrease 29%
Increase <1%
$50,240 Vol.
$50,240 Vol.
Decrease
29%
No Change
72%
Increase
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Israel easing, including the 25 basis point cut to 3.5% in July 2026, followed by stable inflation near 1.9% and a rebounding economy, supports the market's strong preference for no change at the early September decision. Policymakers have cited a strong shekel, lower energy prices after U.S.-Iran developments, and forecasts of continued growth around 4% in 2026 as allowing gradual further easing over time, yet the committee has emphasized a cautious, data-dependent path without signaling an immediate third consecutive reduction. This positioning aligns with the 69.5% consensus on holding rates steady while leaving room for a possible cut should incoming CPI or labor data weaken.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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