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Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

NOIZYUV · 2026-06-08T02:36:02.013Z

Discussion about Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

$1,120,940 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026

August 31

$97,257 Vol.

December 31

$289,083 Vol.

15%

$1,120,940 Vol.

August 31

$97,257 Vol.

December 31

$289,083 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

11%

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Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?

12%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 14%, followed by "August 31" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" is "December 31" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 31" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.1 million traded on “Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 14¢ for "December 31" in the "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 14% chance that "December 31" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 14¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 86¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

This market will resolve when the event's official outcome is determined. Check the "Rules" section on this page for the specific resolution criteria and timing.

The "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" market has an active community of 25 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Note on Middle East Markets

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

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Comments (25)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?" prediction market?

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