Israel’s next legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, which set the latest date permitted under law after a full term. The 37th government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, faced repeated coalition strains over issues including Haredi conscription and security policy but completed its term without triggering an earlier vote. Recent polling shows fragmented results with no bloc securing a clear majority, yet no legislative action or court ruling has altered the timeline. Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the election occurring on schedule, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts for postponement in the final months before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated89% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
89% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s next legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, which set the latest date permitted under law after a full term. The 37th government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, faced repeated coalition strains over issues including Haredi conscription and security policy but completed its term without triggering an earlier vote. Recent polling shows fragmented results with no bloc securing a clear majority, yet no legislative action or court ruling has altered the timeline. Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the election occurring on schedule, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts for postponement in the final months before voting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$2,542End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s next legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, which set the latest date permitted under law after a full term. The 37th government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, faced repeated coalition strains over issues including Haredi conscription and security policy but completed its term without triggering an earlier vote. Recent polling shows fragmented results with no bloc securing a clear majority, yet no legislative action or court ruling has altered the timeline. Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the election occurring on schedule, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts for postponement in the final months before voting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,542End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s next legislative election remains scheduled for October 27, 2026, following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17, 2026, which set the latest date permitted under law after a full term. The 37th government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, faced repeated coalition strains over issues including Haredi conscription and security policy but completed its term without triggering an earlier vote. Recent polling shows fragmented results with no bloc securing a clear majority, yet no legislative action or court ruling has altered the timeline. Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to the election occurring on schedule, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts for postponement in the final months before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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