**Israel has advanced de facto control over parts of the West Bank through administrative changes but shows no near-term move toward formal annexation.** In February 2026, the security cabinet approved measures transferring land registration and planning powers from military to civilian Israeli authorities, repealing restrictions on settler land purchases, and expanding enforcement in Area C. These steps, backed by ministers like Bezalel Smotrich, strengthen settlement infrastructure and state-land claims without declaring sovereignty. Earlier Knesset resolutions and bills in 2025 supporting annexation stalled after opposition from Prime Minister Netanyahu, partly due to U.S. and UAE pressure. With roughly four months remaining until 2027 and ongoing regional priorities including Gaza and Iran-related issues, traders assign only a 9.5% chance to formal territorial annexation before the deadline, viewing it as a high-barrier political and diplomatic step unlikely in the current window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
10% chance
$87,196 Vol.
$87,196 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
10% chance
$87,196 Vol.
$87,196 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israel has advanced de facto control over parts of the West Bank through administrative changes but shows no near-term move toward formal annexation.** In February 2026, the security cabinet approved measures transferring land registration and planning powers from military to civilian Israeli authorities, repealing restrictions on settler land purchases, and expanding enforcement in Area C. These steps, backed by ministers like Bezalel Smotrich, strengthen settlement infrastructure and state-land claims without declaring sovereignty.
Earlier Knesset resolutions and bills in 2025 supporting annexation stalled after opposition from Prime Minister Netanyahu, partly due to U.S. and UAE pressure. With roughly four months remaining until 2027 and ongoing regional priorities including Gaza and Iran-related issues, traders assign only a 9.5% chance to formal territorial annexation before the deadline, viewing it as a high-barrier political and diplomatic step unlikely in the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$87,196End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israel has advanced de facto control over parts of the West Bank through administrative changes but shows no near-term move toward formal annexation.** In February 2026, the security cabinet approved measures transferring land registration and planning powers from military to civilian Israeli authorities, repealing restrictions on settler land purchases, and expanding enforcement in Area C. These steps, backed by ministers like Bezalel Smotrich, strengthen settlement infrastructure and state-land claims without declaring sovereignty.
Earlier Knesset resolutions and bills in 2025 supporting annexation stalled after opposition from Prime Minister Netanyahu, partly due to U.S. and UAE pressure. With roughly four months remaining until 2027 and ongoing regional priorities including Gaza and Iran-related issues, traders assign only a 9.5% chance to formal territorial annexation before the deadline, viewing it as a high-barrier political and diplomatic step unlikely in the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$87,196End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Israel has advanced de facto control over parts of the West Bank through administrative changes but shows no near-term move toward formal annexation.** In February 2026, the security cabinet approved measures transferring land registration and planning powers from military to civilian Israeli authorities, repealing restrictions on settler land purchases, and expanding enforcement in Area C. These steps, backed by ministers like Bezalel Smotrich, strengthen settlement infrastructure and state-land claims without declaring sovereignty. Earlier Knesset resolutions and bills in 2025 supporting annexation stalled after opposition from Prime Minister Netanyahu, partly due to U.S. and UAE pressure. With roughly four months remaining until 2027 and ongoing regional priorities including Gaza and Iran-related issues, traders assign only a 9.5% chance to formal territorial annexation before the deadline, viewing it as a high-barrier political and diplomatic step unlikely in the current window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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