Alibaba’s Qwen team leads trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena’s math category by end of August, driven by recent Qwen3.8-Max updates that delivered measurable gains on competition-level math benchmarks such as AIME24 alongside strong coding-arena results. These releases have narrowed the gap to Anthropic’s current math leader while outpacing most Western and other Chinese labs in the live Elo-based Text Arena math rankings. Google sits as the clearest alternative at lower implied odds, reflecting steady Gemini progress but fewer recent category-specific jumps. With resolution imminent, traders are pricing in Alibaba’s demonstrated momentum in hybrid reasoning models and open-source math performance over the next two weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlibaba 75%
Google 22.4%
OpenAI 1.7%
Meta <1%
$42,981 Vol.
$42,981 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Alibaba
75%
22%
OpenAI
2%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Baidu
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba 75%
Google 22.4%
OpenAI 1.7%
Meta <1%
$42,981 Vol.
$42,981 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Alibaba
$10,863 Vol.
75%
$8,323 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$5,336 Vol.
2%
Meta
$1,465 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,085 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$1,080 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$1,255 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$1,069 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,178 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$2,485 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$904 Vol.
<1%
Anthropic
$909 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$578 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$730 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$790 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$579 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$1,372 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$751 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba’s Qwen team leads trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena’s math category by end of August, driven by recent Qwen3.8-Max updates that delivered measurable gains on competition-level math benchmarks such as AIME24 alongside strong coding-arena results. These releases have narrowed the gap to Anthropic’s current math leader while outpacing most Western and other Chinese labs in the live Elo-based Text Arena math rankings. Google sits as the clearest alternative at lower implied odds, reflecting steady Gemini progress but fewer recent category-specific jumps. With resolution imminent, traders are pricing in Alibaba’s demonstrated momentum in hybrid reasoning models and open-source math performance over the next two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 8:47 PM ET
Volume
$42,981End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 8:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba’s Qwen team leads trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena’s math category by end of August, driven by recent Qwen3.8-Max updates that delivered measurable gains on competition-level math benchmarks such as AIME24 alongside strong coding-arena results. These releases have narrowed the gap to Anthropic’s current math leader while outpacing most Western and other Chinese labs in the live Elo-based Text Arena math rankings. Google sits as the clearest alternative at lower implied odds, reflecting steady Gemini progress but fewer recent category-specific jumps. With resolution imminent, traders are pricing in Alibaba’s demonstrated momentum in hybrid reasoning models and open-source math performance over the next two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$42,981End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 8:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba’s Qwen team leads trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena’s math category by end of August, driven by recent Qwen3.8-Max updates that delivered measurable gains on competition-level math benchmarks such as AIME24 alongside strong coding-arena results. These releases have narrowed the gap to Anthropic’s current math leader while outpacing most Western and other Chinese labs in the live Elo-based Text Arena math rankings. Google sits as the clearest alternative at lower implied odds, reflecting steady Gemini progress but fewer recent category-specific jumps. With resolution imminent, traders are pricing in Alibaba’s demonstrated momentum in hybrid reasoning models and open-source math performance over the next two weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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