**Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), the lab founded by Ilya Sutskever in 2024, remains in a stealth phase with no public models, research releases, or capability demonstrations after roughly 25 months.** Its July 2026 NVIDIA partnership and order-of-magnitude compute expansion via Vera Rubin systems mark the clearest recent progress, yet this infrastructure scaling is still early-stage and targeted at foundational research rather than immediate deployment. Superintelligence—AI surpassing human-level performance across virtually all domains—represents a qualitative leap far beyond current large language models or narrow systems, with no credible third-party benchmarks or internal signals indicating proximity. SSI’s explicit safety-first mandate and lack of commercial pressure further reduce the likelihood of a rapid announcement by year-end. Traders therefore assign roughly 88–12% odds to “No,” reflecting the wide gap between recent funding and partnerships versus the technical and timeline barriers to verifiable superintelligence. Key near-term catalysts include any October–December model releases or public capability updates that could shift sentiment, though historical AI development patterns suggest such milestones remain improbable within the remaining window.