Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a Kremlin-directed target of roughly 50% turnout, with regional administrations instructed to deliver this outcome while managing United Russia’s vote share. State pollster VTsIOM reports 66% of respondents intend to participate, though Levada data indicate limited public awareness of the vote date. Authorities have pursued a “drying out” approach—limiting campaign visibility and relying on three-day voting plus expanded electronic mechanisms—to suppress opposition turnout while facilitating controlled participation among public-sector workers and other reliable groups. These measures, alongside historical patterns of managed results in prior legislative contests, anchor trader consensus around the 50-53% and 53-56% brackets as the most probable ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 38%
53-56% 20.9%
62%+ 11.3%
56-59% 10.4%
$38,221 Vol.
$38,221 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
10%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
21%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
10%
62%+
11%
50-53% 38%
53-56% 20.9%
62%+ 11.3%
56-59% 10.4%
$38,221 Vol.
$38,221 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
$1,686 Vol.
10%
47-50%
$5,303 Vol.
8%
50-53%
$3,858 Vol.
38%
53-56%
$2,626 Vol.
21%
56-59%
$4,859 Vol.
10%
59-62%
$4,056 Vol.
10%
62%+
$15,833 Vol.
11%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a Kremlin-directed target of roughly 50% turnout, with regional administrations instructed to deliver this outcome while managing United Russia’s vote share. State pollster VTsIOM reports 66% of respondents intend to participate, though Levada data indicate limited public awareness of the vote date. Authorities have pursued a “drying out” approach—limiting campaign visibility and relying on three-day voting plus expanded electronic mechanisms—to suppress opposition turnout while facilitating controlled participation among public-sector workers and other reliable groups. These measures, alongside historical patterns of managed results in prior legislative contests, anchor trader consensus around the 50-53% and 53-56% brackets as the most probable ranges.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$38,221End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a Kremlin-directed target of roughly 50% turnout, with regional administrations instructed to deliver this outcome while managing United Russia’s vote share. State pollster VTsIOM reports 66% of respondents intend to participate, though Levada data indicate limited public awareness of the vote date. Authorities have pursued a “drying out” approach—limiting campaign visibility and relying on three-day voting plus expanded electronic mechanisms—to suppress opposition turnout while facilitating controlled participation among public-sector workers and other reliable groups. These measures, alongside historical patterns of managed results in prior legislative contests, anchor trader consensus around the 50-53% and 53-56% brackets as the most probable ranges.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$38,221End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature a Kremlin-directed target of roughly 50% turnout, with regional administrations instructed to deliver this outcome while managing United Russia’s vote share. State pollster VTsIOM reports 66% of respondents intend to participate, though Levada data indicate limited public awareness of the vote date. Authorities have pursued a “drying out” approach—limiting campaign visibility and relying on three-day voting plus expanded electronic mechanisms—to suppress opposition turnout while facilitating controlled participation among public-sector workers and other reliable groups. These measures, alongside historical patterns of managed results in prior legislative contests, anchor trader consensus around the 50-53% and 53-56% brackets as the most probable ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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