The Hualien County magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of Taiwan's November 28, 2026 local elections, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field of KMT-nominated and independent pan-blue candidates. KMT's March 2026 selection of Jian Township head Yu Shu-chen followed internal competition that included Hualien County Council speaker Chang Chun, while independent former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien declared early and has drawn on local networks to challenge established influence tied to legislator Fu Kun-chi. Additional contenders such as Lo Pei-chin and Yeh Yao-hui further split support, limiting any single candidate's consolidation of votes in a county where term limits on the prior magistrate have opened the seat. Recent party rallies and candidate announcements have not yet produced decisive polling separation, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to primary dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and any late endorsements or local issue developments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYu Shu-chen 32%
Chang Chun 29%
Yeh Yao-hui 23%
Wei Chia-hsien 0
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Yu Shu-chen
32%
Chang Chun
29%
Yeh Yao-hui
23%
Wei Chia-hsien
42%
Lo Pei-chin
42%
Yu Shu-chen 32%
Chang Chun 29%
Yeh Yao-hui 23%
Wei Chia-hsien 0
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Yu Shu-chen
$21 Vol.
32%
Chang Chun
$24 Vol.
29%
Yeh Yao-hui
$24 Vol.
23%
Wei Chia-hsien
$25 Vol.
42%
Lo Pei-chin
$25 Vol.
42%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Hualien County magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of Taiwan's November 28, 2026 local elections, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field of KMT-nominated and independent pan-blue candidates. KMT's March 2026 selection of Jian Township head Yu Shu-chen followed internal competition that included Hualien County Council speaker Chang Chun, while independent former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien declared early and has drawn on local networks to challenge established influence tied to legislator Fu Kun-chi. Additional contenders such as Lo Pei-chin and Yeh Yao-hui further split support, limiting any single candidate's consolidation of votes in a county where term limits on the prior magistrate have opened the seat. Recent party rallies and candidate announcements have not yet produced decisive polling separation, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to primary dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and any late endorsements or local issue developments before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Volume
$119End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Hualien County magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of Taiwan's November 28, 2026 local elections, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field of KMT-nominated and independent pan-blue candidates. KMT's March 2026 selection of Jian Township head Yu Shu-chen followed internal competition that included Hualien County Council speaker Chang Chun, while independent former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien declared early and has drawn on local networks to challenge established influence tied to legislator Fu Kun-chi. Additional contenders such as Lo Pei-chin and Yeh Yao-hui further split support, limiting any single candidate's consolidation of votes in a county where term limits on the prior magistrate have opened the seat. Recent party rallies and candidate announcements have not yet produced decisive polling separation, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to primary dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and any late endorsements or local issue developments before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$119End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hualien County magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of Taiwan's November 28, 2026 local elections, with trader prices reflecting a fragmented field of KMT-nominated and independent pan-blue candidates. KMT's March 2026 selection of Jian Township head Yu Shu-chen followed internal competition that included Hualien County Council speaker Chang Chun, while independent former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien declared early and has drawn on local networks to challenge established influence tied to legislator Fu Kun-chi. Additional contenders such as Lo Pei-chin and Yeh Yao-hui further split support, limiting any single candidate's consolidation of votes in a county where term limits on the prior magistrate have opened the seat. Recent party rallies and candidate announcements have not yet produced decisive polling separation, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to primary dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and any late endorsements or local issue developments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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