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Elections·Main Election

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Elections·Main Election

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

Johnny Chiang 90%

Yang Chiung-ying 6%

Ho Hsin-chun 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Johnny Chiang 90%

Yang Chiung-ying 6%

Ho Hsin-chun 5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Johnny Chiang

Johnny Chiang

$552 Vol.

90%

icon for Yang Chiung-ying

Yang Chiung-ying

$21 Vol.

6%

icon for Ho Hsin-chun

Ho Hsin-chun

$103 Vol.

5%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Johnny Chiang’s strong positioning stems from his March 2026 KMT primary victory and formal nomination as the party’s Taichung mayoral candidate.** He defeated legislator Yang Chiung-ying in internal polling averages, consolidating KMT factions and securing the opposition ticket for the November 28, 2026, election. The DPP has nominated legislator Ho Hsin-chun, setting up a clear two-party contest in the special municipality. Market pricing reflects this established matchup, with Chiang’s 89.5% implied probability driven by KMT organizational strength, his legislative profile, and early polling trends favoring the nominee. Lower odds on Yang Chiung-ying (5.5%) and Ho Hsin-chun (4.5%) align with their roles as the primary runner-up and opposing-party standard-bearer, respectively. No major developments since the spring nominations have altered the race fundamentals, keeping trader focus on the November ballot and standard local-election dynamics such as turnout and candidate visibility.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$676
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Johnny Chiang’s strong positioning stems from his March 2026 KMT primary victory and formal nomination as the party’s Taichung mayoral candidate.** He defeated legislator Yang Chiung-ying in internal polling averages, consolidating KMT factions and securing the opposition ticket for the November 28, 2026, election. The DPP has nominated legislator Ho Hsin-chun, setting up a clear two-party contest in the special municipality. Market pricing reflects this established matchup, with Chiang’s 89.5% implied probability driven by KMT organizational strength, his legislative profile, and early polling trends favoring the nominee. Lower odds on Yang Chiung-ying (5.5%) and Ho Hsin-chun (4.5%) align with their roles as the primary runner-up and opposing-party standard-bearer, respectively. No major developments since the spring nominations have altered the race fundamentals, keeping trader focus on the November ballot and standard local-election dynamics such as turnout and candidate visibility.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$676
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Johnny Chiang" at 90%, followed by "Yang Chiung-ying" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taichung Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is "Johnny Chiang" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yang Chiung-ying" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taichung Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.