Trader sentiment for NYC September precipitation centers on a modest early-month total of roughly 0.9 inches through September 6 amid a strengthening El Niño pattern, which historically tilts the Northeast drier by suppressing Atlantic tropical activity and steering systems offshore. Short-term National Weather Service guidance shows mostly dry conditions through mid-month with only isolated shower chances, while NOAA’s seasonal outlook still favors above-normal totals for the region overall. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 2–5 inch outcomes include the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or remnant tropical moisture, model spread in precipitation forecasts, and whether a single heavy event pushes totals higher. Updated extended-range guidance and Atlantic basin monitoring will refine these probabilities as the month progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
2-3" 28%
4-5" 26%
3-4" 21%
>6" 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
10%
2-3"
29%
3-4"
30%
4-5"
26%
5-6"
8%
>6"
19%
2-3" 28%
4-5" 26%
3-4" 21%
>6" 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$708 Vol.
10%
2-3"
$423 Vol.
29%
3-4"
$208 Vol.
30%
4-5"
$332 Vol.
26%
5-6"
$166 Vol.
8%
>6"
$695 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for NYC September precipitation centers on a modest early-month total of roughly 0.9 inches through September 6 amid a strengthening El Niño pattern, which historically tilts the Northeast drier by suppressing Atlantic tropical activity and steering systems offshore. Short-term National Weather Service guidance shows mostly dry conditions through mid-month with only isolated shower chances, while NOAA’s seasonal outlook still favors above-normal totals for the region overall. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 2–5 inch outcomes include the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or remnant tropical moisture, model spread in precipitation forecasts, and whether a single heavy event pushes totals higher. Updated extended-range guidance and Atlantic basin monitoring will refine these probabilities as the month progresses.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$2,532End Date
Oct 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for NYC September precipitation centers on a modest early-month total of roughly 0.9 inches through September 6 amid a strengthening El Niño pattern, which historically tilts the Northeast drier by suppressing Atlantic tropical activity and steering systems offshore. Short-term National Weather Service guidance shows mostly dry conditions through mid-month with only isolated shower chances, while NOAA’s seasonal outlook still favors above-normal totals for the region overall. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 2–5 inch outcomes include the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or remnant tropical moisture, model spread in precipitation forecasts, and whether a single heavy event pushes totals higher. Updated extended-range guidance and Atlantic basin monitoring will refine these probabilities as the month progresses.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,532End Date
Oct 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for NYC September precipitation centers on a modest early-month total of roughly 0.9 inches through September 6 amid a strengthening El Niño pattern, which historically tilts the Northeast drier by suppressing Atlantic tropical activity and steering systems offshore. Short-term National Weather Service guidance shows mostly dry conditions through mid-month with only isolated shower chances, while NOAA’s seasonal outlook still favors above-normal totals for the region overall. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 2–5 inch outcomes include the timing and intensity of any late-month frontal passages or remnant tropical moisture, model spread in precipitation forecasts, and whether a single heavy event pushes totals higher. Updated extended-range guidance and Atlantic basin monitoring will refine these probabilities as the month progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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