NVIDIA's official guidance for fiscal Q2 2027 non-GAAP gross margin of 75%, plus or minus 50 basis points, issued during its May 2026 Q1 earnings release, anchors trader consensus at 91% probability for the 74-76% band. This outlook reflects sustained pricing power on high-margin AI accelerators like Blackwell, favorable product mix toward data center solutions, and manufacturing efficiencies amid the ongoing ramp, consistent with prior quarters' performance above 72%. Analysts note limited near-term pressure from competition or China restrictions, supporting the narrow range around the midpoint. Resolution could shift if supply constraints, unexpected inventory adjustments, or accelerated low-margin networking volumes materialize before earnings, though historical patterns and the company's reiterated mid-70s target for the year limit such downside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated74%-76% 91%
76%-78% 6.7%
72%-74% 4.9%
78%+ 4.4%
<72%
2%
72%-74%
5%
74%-76%
91%
76%-78%
7%
78%+
4%
74%-76% 91%
76%-78% 6.7%
72%-74% 4.9%
78%+ 4.4%
<72%
2%
72%-74%
5%
74%-76%
91%
76%-78%
7%
78%+
4%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
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If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA's official guidance for fiscal Q2 2027 non-GAAP gross margin of 75%, plus or minus 50 basis points, issued during its May 2026 Q1 earnings release, anchors trader consensus at 91% probability for the 74-76% band. This outlook reflects sustained pricing power on high-margin AI accelerators like Blackwell, favorable product mix toward data center solutions, and manufacturing efficiencies amid the ongoing ramp, consistent with prior quarters' performance above 72%. Analysts note limited near-term pressure from competition or China restrictions, supporting the narrow range around the midpoint. Resolution could shift if supply constraints, unexpected inventory adjustments, or accelerated low-margin networking volumes materialize before earnings, though historical patterns and the company's reiterated mid-70s target for the year limit such downside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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