Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, following his designation by President Joseph Aoun and cabinet formation amid a shift away from prior caretaker arrangements. His government has focused on economic reforms, including the 2026 budget with zero-deficit targets and tax enforcement, alongside diplomatic efforts to manage tensions with Israel and Hezbollah while seeking international support for stability and reconstruction. No parliamentary confidence votes, resignations, or major coalition breakdowns have disrupted his tenure through mid-2026, and recent activities such as regional visits and UN-related statements underscore continued authority. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 introduce potential transition timing, yet trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price aligns with the absence of immediate removal pressures or institutional challenges within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
11% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
11% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, following his designation by President Joseph Aoun and cabinet formation amid a shift away from prior caretaker arrangements. His government has focused on economic reforms, including the 2026 budget with zero-deficit targets and tax enforcement, alongside diplomatic efforts to manage tensions with Israel and Hezbollah while seeking international support for stability and reconstruction. No parliamentary confidence votes, resignations, or major coalition breakdowns have disrupted his tenure through mid-2026, and recent activities such as regional visits and UN-related statements underscore continued authority. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 introduce potential transition timing, yet trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price aligns with the absence of immediate removal pressures or institutional challenges within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,148End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, following his designation by President Joseph Aoun and cabinet formation amid a shift away from prior caretaker arrangements. His government has focused on economic reforms, including the 2026 budget with zero-deficit targets and tax enforcement, alongside diplomatic efforts to manage tensions with Israel and Hezbollah while seeking international support for stability and reconstruction. No parliamentary confidence votes, resignations, or major coalition breakdowns have disrupted his tenure through mid-2026, and recent activities such as regional visits and UN-related statements underscore continued authority. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 introduce potential transition timing, yet trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price aligns with the absence of immediate removal pressures or institutional challenges within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,148End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, following his designation by President Joseph Aoun and cabinet formation amid a shift away from prior caretaker arrangements. His government has focused on economic reforms, including the 2026 budget with zero-deficit targets and tax enforcement, alongside diplomatic efforts to manage tensions with Israel and Hezbollah while seeking international support for stability and reconstruction. No parliamentary confidence votes, resignations, or major coalition breakdowns have disrupted his tenure through mid-2026, and recent activities such as regional visits and UN-related statements underscore continued authority. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 introduce potential transition timing, yet trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% "No" price aligns with the absence of immediate removal pressures or institutional challenges within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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