Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025, ending a two-year vacancy after Michel Aoun’s term, and he assumed office with broad cross-factional and international support amid Hezbollah’s weakened position following the 2024 conflict. Lebanese presidents serve fixed six-year terms under the country’s sectarian power-sharing system, and Aoun remains the incumbent with no reported constitutional challenges, resignation signals, or parliamentary moves toward early removal as of mid-2026. Recent diplomacy, including his July 2026 White House meeting with President Trump focused on Israeli withdrawal and state control over arms, underscores his active role in ongoing stabilization efforts. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an exit by year-end reflects this structural stability and lack of catalysts for abrupt change. Late developments such as a major health event, unforeseen scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could theoretically alter the outlook before December 31, though none are evident in current reporting.