Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA guidance, and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterlies shifting to southerlies under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiational cooling. Average August overnight lows hover around 9°C, yet current conditions reflect near-average or slightly milder air masses following earlier polar outbreaks, keeping probabilities clustered around 10–12°C in trader sentiment. Wind patterns and cloud cover remain the dominant variables that could nudge the reading lower if southerlies strengthen or clear skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 29%
8°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
21%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
42%
12°C
29%
13°C
27%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 29%
8°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
$68 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$1 Vol.
30%
11°C
$32 Vol.
42%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$199 Vol.
4%
15°C
$71 Vol.
1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$73 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA guidance, and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterlies shifting to southerlies under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiational cooling. Average August overnight lows hover around 9°C, yet current conditions reflect near-average or slightly milder air masses following earlier polar outbreaks, keeping probabilities clustered around 10–12°C in trader sentiment. Wind patterns and cloud cover remain the dominant variables that could nudge the reading lower if southerlies strengthen or clear skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$463End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA guidance, and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterlies shifting to southerlies under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiational cooling. Average August overnight lows hover around 9°C, yet current conditions reflect near-average or slightly milder air masses following earlier polar outbreaks, keeping probabilities clustered around 10–12°C in trader sentiment. Wind patterns and cloud cover remain the dominant variables that could nudge the reading lower if southerlies strengthen or clear skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$463End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA guidance, and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterlies shifting to southerlies under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiational cooling. Average August overnight lows hover around 9°C, yet current conditions reflect near-average or slightly milder air masses following earlier polar outbreaks, keeping probabilities clustered around 10–12°C in trader sentiment. Wind patterns and cloud cover remain the dominant variables that could nudge the reading lower if southerlies strengthen or clear skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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