Recent meteorological guidance for Wellington, New Zealand, points to a highest temperature of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average late-winter conditions under the influence of variable northerly flow and limited cloud cover. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August daily maxima typically 12–14°C and only modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus shows no strong synoptic drivers for significant warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 14–15°C and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts from MetService and international agencies will refine the exact maximum as the 24-hour window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
15°C 59%
14°C 32%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
32%
15°C
59%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 59%
14°C 32%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$780 Vol.
1%
13°C
$629 Vol.
3%
14°C
$3,171 Vol.
32%
15°C
$1,438 Vol.
59%
16°C
$307 Vol.
9%
17°C
$698 Vol.
2%
18°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Wellington, New Zealand, points to a highest temperature of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average late-winter conditions under the influence of variable northerly flow and limited cloud cover. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August daily maxima typically 12–14°C and only modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus shows no strong synoptic drivers for significant warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 14–15°C and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts from MetService and international agencies will refine the exact maximum as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,929End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Wellington, New Zealand, points to a highest temperature of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average late-winter conditions under the influence of variable northerly flow and limited cloud cover. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August daily maxima typically 12–14°C and only modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus shows no strong synoptic drivers for significant warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 14–15°C and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts from MetService and international agencies will refine the exact maximum as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,929End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance for Wellington, New Zealand, points to a highest temperature of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average late-winter conditions under the influence of variable northerly flow and limited cloud cover. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August daily maxima typically 12–14°C and only modest day-to-day variability. Model consensus shows no strong synoptic drivers for significant warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 14–15°C and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts from MetService and international agencies will refine the exact maximum as the 24-hour window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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