**The Khamenei.ir account on X has maintained a low posting frequency in recent weeks, primarily reposting archival statements and quotes from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rather than issuing new content.** This pattern aligns with the account's activity since the March 2026 leadership transition, during which Mojtaba Khamenei has used separate channels for official communications while the main account serves a largely historical role. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in early August 2026 have triggered fresh statements, reinforcing trader expectations of fewer than five posts for the August 7–14 window. The implied probability above 97% reflects consistent historical volume and the absence of catalysts that typically prompt increased output. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, high-level announcement, or shift in official messaging strategy could increase activity and test the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 97.5%
5-9 1.7%
10-14 1.1%
20-24 <1%
$17,323 Vol.
$17,323 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
98%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 97.5%
5-9 1.7%
10-14 1.1%
20-24 <1%
$17,323 Vol.
$17,323 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
$9,289 Vol.
98%
5-9
$1,446 Vol.
2%
10-14
$667 Vol.
1%
15-19
$646 Vol.
1%
20-24
$1,139 Vol.
1%
25-29
$1,167 Vol.
1%
30-34
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$281 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$276 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$282 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$282 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$276 Vol.
<1%
60+
$416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The Khamenei.ir account on X has maintained a low posting frequency in recent weeks, primarily reposting archival statements and quotes from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rather than issuing new content.** This pattern aligns with the account's activity since the March 2026 leadership transition, during which Mojtaba Khamenei has used separate channels for official communications while the main account serves a largely historical role. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in early August 2026 have triggered fresh statements, reinforcing trader expectations of fewer than five posts for the August 7–14 window. The implied probability above 97% reflects consistent historical volume and the absence of catalysts that typically prompt increased output. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, high-level announcement, or shift in official messaging strategy could increase activity and test the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$17,323End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The Khamenei.ir account on X has maintained a low posting frequency in recent weeks, primarily reposting archival statements and quotes from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rather than issuing new content.** This pattern aligns with the account's activity since the March 2026 leadership transition, during which Mojtaba Khamenei has used separate channels for official communications while the main account serves a largely historical role. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in early August 2026 have triggered fresh statements, reinforcing trader expectations of fewer than five posts for the August 7–14 window. The implied probability above 97% reflects consistent historical volume and the absence of catalysts that typically prompt increased output. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, high-level announcement, or shift in official messaging strategy could increase activity and test the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$17,323End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Khamenei.ir account on X has maintained a low posting frequency in recent weeks, primarily reposting archival statements and quotes from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rather than issuing new content.** This pattern aligns with the account's activity since the March 2026 leadership transition, during which Mojtaba Khamenei has used separate channels for official communications while the main account serves a largely historical role. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in early August 2026 have triggered fresh statements, reinforcing trader expectations of fewer than five posts for the August 7–14 window. The implied probability above 97% reflects consistent historical volume and the absence of catalysts that typically prompt increased output. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, high-level announcement, or shift in official messaging strategy could increase activity and test the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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