Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged around 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126 that align with the market's tight clustering between 120-159 posts. Traders appear to price in this baseline rate, tempered by modest variance from routine White House schedules, including executive time and policy meetings during the August 14-16 period at Bedminster. Ongoing developments such as the Iran conflict and recent tariff or domestic policy statements have driven occasional higher-volume days in prior months, while summer traffic declines on the platform suggest no broad escalation. Separation among the leading ranges could emerge from unexpected late-week events, major announcements, or shifts in the news cycle that prompt additional responses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated140-159 25%
120-139 23%
200+ 21%
160-179 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
2%
100-119
12%
120-139
23%
140-159
25%
160-179
19%
180-199
16%
200+
22%
140-159 25%
120-139 23%
200+ 21%
160-179 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<20
$2,223 Vol.
1%
20-39
$417 Vol.
1%
40-59
$585 Vol.
1%
60-79
$123 Vol.
1%
80-99
$364 Vol.
2%
100-119
$451 Vol.
12%
120-139
$338 Vol.
23%
140-159
$340 Vol.
25%
160-179
$816 Vol.
19%
180-199
$471 Vol.
16%
200+
$1,026 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged around 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126 that align with the market's tight clustering between 120-159 posts. Traders appear to price in this baseline rate, tempered by modest variance from routine White House schedules, including executive time and policy meetings during the August 14-16 period at Bedminster. Ongoing developments such as the Iran conflict and recent tariff or domestic policy statements have driven occasional higher-volume days in prior months, while summer traffic declines on the platform suggest no broad escalation. Separation among the leading ranges could emerge from unexpected late-week events, major announcements, or shifts in the news cycle that prompt additional responses.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$7,154End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged around 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126 that align with the market's tight clustering between 120-159 posts. Traders appear to price in this baseline rate, tempered by modest variance from routine White House schedules, including executive time and policy meetings during the August 14-16 period at Bedminster. Ongoing developments such as the Iran conflict and recent tariff or domestic policy statements have driven occasional higher-volume days in prior months, while summer traffic declines on the platform suggest no broad escalation. Separation among the leading ranges could emerge from unexpected late-week events, major announcements, or shifts in the news cycle that prompt additional responses.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,154End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged around 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126 that align with the market's tight clustering between 120-159 posts. Traders appear to price in this baseline rate, tempered by modest variance from routine White House schedules, including executive time and policy meetings during the August 14-16 period at Bedminster. Ongoing developments such as the Iran conflict and recent tariff or domestic policy statements have driven occasional higher-volume days in prior months, while summer traffic declines on the platform suggest no broad escalation. Separation among the leading ranges could emerge from unexpected late-week events, major announcements, or shifts in the news cycle that prompt additional responses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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