President Trump’s typical Truth Social output, historically averaging near 20 posts or reposts daily during his second term, positions the 160-199 range as the consensus outcome for the August 7–14 window. Traders appear to factor in steady activity around the August 10 executive order on vaccine schedules and the August 12 lawsuit filed by media organizations challenging paid early-access feeds to his posts. These developments, alongside routine policy and news commentary, have supported volume in the mid- to high-160s to low-190s rather than lighter or heavier extremes. The modest probability on 200+ reflects limited evidence of sustained escalation tied to the legal or regulatory developments. Resolution hinges on the final verified count of original posts and reposts appearing in his primary feed through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 56%
160-179 43%
200+ 4.0%
$61,449 Vol.
$61,449 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
160-179
43%
180-199
56%
200+
4%
180-199 56%
160-179 43%
200+ 4.0%
$61,449 Vol.
$61,449 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
160-179
$6,984 Vol.
43%
180-199
$6,406 Vol.
56%
200+
$6,375 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump’s typical Truth Social output, historically averaging near 20 posts or reposts daily during his second term, positions the 160-199 range as the consensus outcome for the August 7–14 window. Traders appear to factor in steady activity around the August 10 executive order on vaccine schedules and the August 12 lawsuit filed by media organizations challenging paid early-access feeds to his posts. These developments, alongside routine policy and news commentary, have supported volume in the mid- to high-160s to low-190s rather than lighter or heavier extremes. The modest probability on 200+ reflects limited evidence of sustained escalation tied to the legal or regulatory developments. Resolution hinges on the final verified count of original posts and reposts appearing in his primary feed through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$61,449End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump’s typical Truth Social output, historically averaging near 20 posts or reposts daily during his second term, positions the 160-199 range as the consensus outcome for the August 7–14 window. Traders appear to factor in steady activity around the August 10 executive order on vaccine schedules and the August 12 lawsuit filed by media organizations challenging paid early-access feeds to his posts. These developments, alongside routine policy and news commentary, have supported volume in the mid- to high-160s to low-190s rather than lighter or heavier extremes. The modest probability on 200+ reflects limited evidence of sustained escalation tied to the legal or regulatory developments. Resolution hinges on the final verified count of original posts and reposts appearing in his primary feed through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$61,449End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump’s typical Truth Social output, historically averaging near 20 posts or reposts daily during his second term, positions the 160-199 range as the consensus outcome for the August 7–14 window. Traders appear to factor in steady activity around the August 10 executive order on vaccine schedules and the August 12 lawsuit filed by media organizations challenging paid early-access feeds to his posts. These developments, alongside routine policy and news commentary, have supported volume in the mid- to high-160s to low-190s rather than lighter or heavier extremes. The modest probability on 200+ reflects limited evidence of sustained escalation tied to the legal or regulatory developments. Resolution hinges on the final verified count of original posts and reposts appearing in his primary feed through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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