Mojtaba Khamenei's X activity, tracked via his official account, follows an irregular, event-driven pattern rather than consistent daily output since assuming the role of Supreme Leader. Recent military appointments and advisory announcements in early August generated several posts, yet no comparable diplomatic, conflict-related, or domestic crises have emerged in the August 11–18 window to prompt additional volume. Traders price sub-five posts as the dominant outcome because baseline frequency remains low outside major escalations, with the 5–9 range reflecting only modest upside if routine statements continue. Health-related video releases and limited public visibility have not translated into heightened social media engagement, reinforcing the current market consensus on restrained activity through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
<5 72%
5-9 29%
10-14 1.8%
15-19 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<5
72%
5-9
29%
10-14
2%
15-19
1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 72%
5-9 29%
10-14 1.8%
15-19 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<5
$3,000 Vol.
72%
5-9
$1,544 Vol.
29%
10-14
$612 Vol.
2%
15-19
$403 Vol.
1%
20-24
$402 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$391 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$402 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$433 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$321 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$358 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$396 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$405 Vol.
<1%
60+
$551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei's X activity, tracked via his official account, follows an irregular, event-driven pattern rather than consistent daily output since assuming the role of Supreme Leader. Recent military appointments and advisory announcements in early August generated several posts, yet no comparable diplomatic, conflict-related, or domestic crises have emerged in the August 11–18 window to prompt additional volume. Traders price sub-five posts as the dominant outcome because baseline frequency remains low outside major escalations, with the 5–9 range reflecting only modest upside if routine statements continue. Health-related video releases and limited public visibility have not translated into heightened social media engagement, reinforcing the current market consensus on restrained activity through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$9,218End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei's X activity, tracked via his official account, follows an irregular, event-driven pattern rather than consistent daily output since assuming the role of Supreme Leader. Recent military appointments and advisory announcements in early August generated several posts, yet no comparable diplomatic, conflict-related, or domestic crises have emerged in the August 11–18 window to prompt additional volume. Traders price sub-five posts as the dominant outcome because baseline frequency remains low outside major escalations, with the 5–9 range reflecting only modest upside if routine statements continue. Health-related video releases and limited public visibility have not translated into heightened social media engagement, reinforcing the current market consensus on restrained activity through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,218End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mojtaba Khamenei's X activity, tracked via his official account, follows an irregular, event-driven pattern rather than consistent daily output since assuming the role of Supreme Leader. Recent military appointments and advisory announcements in early August generated several posts, yet no comparable diplomatic, conflict-related, or domestic crises have emerged in the August 11–18 window to prompt additional volume. Traders price sub-five posts as the dominant outcome because baseline frequency remains low outside major escalations, with the 5–9 range reflecting only modest upside if routine statements continue. Health-related video releases and limited public visibility have not translated into heightened social media engagement, reinforcing the current market consensus on restrained activity through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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