The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,773 Vol.
$18,773 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,773 Vol.
$18,773 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
$9,954 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$1,856 Vol.
No
10-14
$1,042 Vol.
No
15-19
$646 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,139 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,167 Vol.
No
30-34
$1,155 Vol.
No
35-39
$281 Vol.
No
40-44
$276 Vol.
No
45-49
$282 Vol.
No
50-54
$282 Vol.
No
55-59
$276 Vol.
No
60+
$416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$18,773End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,773End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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