Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) and successor handles have followed a pattern of limited weekly output, with qualifying posts typically falling below five due to the office's emphasis on measured official statements over routine updates. This restraint persists in the post-transition period under Mojtaba Khamenei, where activity spikes only around major diplomatic or security developments rather than daily engagement. Trader consensus reflects this established baseline, with higher brackets priced thinly absent catalysts in the August 7-14 window. A sudden escalation in regional tensions or scheduled high-profile announcements could increase volume, though such shifts remain low-probability based on recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 97.8%
5-9 1.4%
10-14 1.1%
15-19 <1%
$17,323 Vol.
$17,323 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
98%
5-9
1%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 97.8%
5-9 1.4%
10-14 1.1%
15-19 <1%
$17,323 Vol.
$17,323 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
$9,289 Vol.
98%
5-9
$1,446 Vol.
1%
10-14
$667 Vol.
1%
15-19
$646 Vol.
1%
20-24
$1,139 Vol.
1%
25-29
$1,167 Vol.
1%
30-34
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$281 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$276 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$282 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$282 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$276 Vol.
<1%
60+
$416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) and successor handles have followed a pattern of limited weekly output, with qualifying posts typically falling below five due to the office's emphasis on measured official statements over routine updates. This restraint persists in the post-transition period under Mojtaba Khamenei, where activity spikes only around major diplomatic or security developments rather than daily engagement. Trader consensus reflects this established baseline, with higher brackets priced thinly absent catalysts in the August 7-14 window. A sudden escalation in regional tensions or scheduled high-profile announcements could increase volume, though such shifts remain low-probability based on recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$17,323End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) and successor handles have followed a pattern of limited weekly output, with qualifying posts typically falling below five due to the office's emphasis on measured official statements over routine updates. This restraint persists in the post-transition period under Mojtaba Khamenei, where activity spikes only around major diplomatic or security developments rather than daily engagement. Trader consensus reflects this established baseline, with higher brackets priced thinly absent catalysts in the August 7-14 window. A sudden escalation in regional tensions or scheduled high-profile announcements could increase volume, though such shifts remain low-probability based on recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$17,323End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) and successor handles have followed a pattern of limited weekly output, with qualifying posts typically falling below five due to the office's emphasis on measured official statements over routine updates. This restraint persists in the post-transition period under Mojtaba Khamenei, where activity spikes only around major diplomatic or security developments rather than daily engagement. Trader consensus reflects this established baseline, with higher brackets priced thinly absent catalysts in the August 7-14 window. A sudden escalation in regional tensions or scheduled high-profile announcements could increase volume, though such shifts remain low-probability based on recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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