Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for August 24 under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of afternoon thundery showers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with observed highs of 33–34°C on most days in the second half of August and the recent pattern of readings exceeding 33°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August support the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C as the most probable outcome, while lower probabilities for 34°C or higher reflect uncertainty from potential convective cooling or slight forecast revisions ahead of the final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
33°C 66%
32°C 18%
34°C 15%
31°C 3%
$13,019 Vol.
$13,019 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
66%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
2%
33°C 66%
32°C 18%
34°C 15%
31°C 3%
$13,019 Vol.
$13,019 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
66%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daily maximum near 33°C for August 24 under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of afternoon thundery showers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with observed highs of 33–34°C on most days in the second half of August and the recent pattern of readings exceeding 33°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August support the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C as the most probable outcome, while lower probabilities for 34°C or higher reflect uncertainty from potential convective cooling or slight forecast revisions ahead of the final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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