Recent forecast guidance from models like those informing AccuWeather points to a humid late-summer pattern over Qingdao, with daytime highs likely peaking near 28–31 °C amid possible thunderstorms and variable coastal cloud cover from the Yellow Sea. Marine moderation and scattered precipitation introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum, as earlier or heavier rain could suppress readings toward 29–30 °C while clearer intervals or stronger insolation might allow brief spikes to 31–32 °C. Historical August averages near 29 °C provide context, but day-to-day steering patterns and local boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the high settles at the market’s leading 31 °C outcome or shifts lower. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance tomorrow morning represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 22?
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models like those informing AccuWeather points to a humid late-summer pattern over Qingdao, with daytime highs likely peaking near 28–31 °C amid possible thunderstorms and variable coastal cloud cover from the Yellow Sea. Marine moderation and scattered precipitation introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum, as earlier or heavier rain could suppress readings toward 29–30 °C while clearer intervals or stronger insolation might allow brief spikes to 31–32 °C. Historical August averages near 29 °C provide context, but day-to-day steering patterns and local boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the high settles at the market’s leading 31 °C outcome or shifts lower. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance tomorrow morning represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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