Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, consistent with mid-August coastal climatology averaging 29–31°C. Light rain, overcast skies, and sea-breeze advection of cooler marine air are expected to suppress peak heating, anchoring trader-implied odds overwhelmingly at 30°C. Model uncertainty around cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and any weak frontal influences explains the tight clustering near this threshold. Clearer conditions or delayed marine air influx could realistically push readings above 30°C, while stronger onshore flow or heavier showers would favor lower outcomes. Updated observational data and model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
30°C 92%
31°C 8%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$31,397 Vol.
$31,397 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
92%
31°C
8%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 92%
31°C 8%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$31,397 Vol.
$31,397 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$393 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$692 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,446 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,314 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,574 Vol.
92%
31°C
$3,710 Vol.
8%
32°C
$2,449 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,633 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,576 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, consistent with mid-August coastal climatology averaging 29–31°C. Light rain, overcast skies, and sea-breeze advection of cooler marine air are expected to suppress peak heating, anchoring trader-implied odds overwhelmingly at 30°C. Model uncertainty around cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and any weak frontal influences explains the tight clustering near this threshold. Clearer conditions or delayed marine air influx could realistically push readings above 30°C, while stronger onshore flow or heavier showers would favor lower outcomes. Updated observational data and model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31,397End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, consistent with mid-August coastal climatology averaging 29–31°C. Light rain, overcast skies, and sea-breeze advection of cooler marine air are expected to suppress peak heating, anchoring trader-implied odds overwhelmingly at 30°C. Model uncertainty around cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and any weak frontal influences explains the tight clustering near this threshold. Clearer conditions or delayed marine air influx could realistically push readings above 30°C, while stronger onshore flow or heavier showers would favor lower outcomes. Updated observational data and model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,397End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, consistent with mid-August coastal climatology averaging 29–31°C. Light rain, overcast skies, and sea-breeze advection of cooler marine air are expected to suppress peak heating, anchoring trader-implied odds overwhelmingly at 30°C. Model uncertainty around cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and any weak frontal influences explains the tight clustering near this threshold. Clearer conditions or delayed marine air influx could realistically push readings above 30°C, while stronger onshore flow or heavier showers would favor lower outcomes. Updated observational data and model runs will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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