Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, 2026, with ranges of 20–22°C reflecting typical late-summer moderation by the North Sea and variable cloud cover or light northwesterly flow. This aligns with the 50% market-implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome, followed by 22°C (21.5%) and 20°C (18.5%), as ensemble models show limited potential for stronger highs or cooler conditions under stable synoptic patterns. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, with resolution tied to official KNMI observations; any final model runs or satellite updates before the period could shift the narrow distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
21°C 52%
22°C 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
19%
21°C
52%
22°C
22%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 52%
22°C 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$86 Vol.
1%
18°C
$59 Vol.
2%
19°C
$208 Vol.
5%
20°C
$197 Vol.
19%
21°C
$1,137 Vol.
52%
22°C
$226 Vol.
22%
23°C
$221 Vol.
4%
24°C
$254 Vol.
2%
25°C
$106 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, 2026, with ranges of 20–22°C reflecting typical late-summer moderation by the North Sea and variable cloud cover or light northwesterly flow. This aligns with the 50% market-implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome, followed by 22°C (21.5%) and 20°C (18.5%), as ensemble models show limited potential for stronger highs or cooler conditions under stable synoptic patterns. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, with resolution tied to official KNMI observations; any final model runs or satellite updates before the period could shift the narrow distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,747End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, 2026, with ranges of 20–22°C reflecting typical late-summer moderation by the North Sea and variable cloud cover or light northwesterly flow. This aligns with the 50% market-implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome, followed by 22°C (21.5%) and 20°C (18.5%), as ensemble models show limited potential for stronger highs or cooler conditions under stable synoptic patterns. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, with resolution tied to official KNMI observations; any final model runs or satellite updates before the period could shift the narrow distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,747End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, 2026, with ranges of 20–22°C reflecting typical late-summer moderation by the North Sea and variable cloud cover or light northwesterly flow. This aligns with the 50% market-implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome, followed by 22°C (21.5%) and 20°C (18.5%), as ensemble models show limited potential for stronger highs or cooler conditions under stable synoptic patterns. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, with resolution tied to official KNMI observations; any final model runs or satellite updates before the period could shift the narrow distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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