Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently projects daytime highs of 31–36°C for Taipei through mid-to-late August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island amplification. Afternoon thundershowers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon can briefly suppress peaks, while clear intervals allow temperatures to approach or exceed the 34–35°C range observed in recent days. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a typhoon or stronger cold-surge intrusion, both low-probability events before August 18. Official readings at Taipei Songshan Airport will determine the exact maximum, with historical August extremes rarely surpassing 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated CWA and ECMWF guidance released over the next 48 hours will refine the most probable outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 18?
31°C 34%
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
36°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
34%
32°C
19%
33°C
17%
34°C
30%
35°C
30%
36°C
20%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
36°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
34%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
17%
34°C
$4 Vol.
30%
35°C
$11 Vol.
30%
36°C
$28 Vol.
20%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently projects daytime highs of 31–36°C for Taipei through mid-to-late August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island amplification. Afternoon thundershowers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon can briefly suppress peaks, while clear intervals allow temperatures to approach or exceed the 34–35°C range observed in recent days. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a typhoon or stronger cold-surge intrusion, both low-probability events before August 18. Official readings at Taipei Songshan Airport will determine the exact maximum, with historical August extremes rarely surpassing 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated CWA and ECMWF guidance released over the next 48 hours will refine the most probable outcome range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$43End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently projects daytime highs of 31–36°C for Taipei through mid-to-late August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island amplification. Afternoon thundershowers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon can briefly suppress peaks, while clear intervals allow temperatures to approach or exceed the 34–35°C range observed in recent days. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a typhoon or stronger cold-surge intrusion, both low-probability events before August 18. Official readings at Taipei Songshan Airport will determine the exact maximum, with historical August extremes rarely surpassing 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated CWA and ECMWF guidance released over the next 48 hours will refine the most probable outcome range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently projects daytime highs of 31–36°C for Taipei through mid-to-late August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island amplification. Afternoon thundershowers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon can briefly suppress peaks, while clear intervals allow temperatures to approach or exceed the 34–35°C range observed in recent days. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability absent a typhoon or stronger cold-surge intrusion, both low-probability events before August 18. Official readings at Taipei Songshan Airport will determine the exact maximum, with historical August extremes rarely surpassing 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated CWA and ECMWF guidance released over the next 48 hours will refine the most probable outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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