Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a cooling trend for Munich on August 17, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 21–23°C under increased cloud cover and thundery showers. This follows warmer conditions around 27°C on August 16 and aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily highs typically fall near 22–23°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited potential for stronger high-pressure influence that could push readings above 24°C, while the risk of sub-21°C outcomes remains tied to heavier precipitation or greater cloud thickness. Traders appear to weight these stable short-range guidance outputs heavily, with resolution depending on official station measurements at the Munich-Oberschleißheim site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 17?
23°C 41%
22°C 30%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
30%
23°C
41%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
22°C 30%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
30%
23°C
41%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a cooling trend for Munich on August 17, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 21–23°C under increased cloud cover and thundery showers. This follows warmer conditions around 27°C on August 16 and aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily highs typically fall near 22–23°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited potential for stronger high-pressure influence that could push readings above 24°C, while the risk of sub-21°C outcomes remains tied to heavier precipitation or greater cloud thickness. Traders appear to weight these stable short-range guidance outputs heavily, with resolution depending on official station measurements at the Munich-Oberschleißheim site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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